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February 14, 2003, Newsletter Issue #46: Predicting Quakes


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Tip of the Week

Can earthquakes be predicted? Unfortunately, not yet. Scientists or the USGS have never predicted a major quake. The focus of current research is more on improving structures and preparedness rather than on prediction. What we can do is "estimate probability" -- in some opinions "guestimate probability" would be a more accurate description.



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